Future Outlook
Looking ahead, the future of onchain AI appears full of potential, though it will unfold in stages. In the near term, we expect continued experimentation with onchain AI agents and AI-powered apps. Long-term, we believe crypto is poised to become the de facto economic layer for AI, meaning any advanced AI agent will use crypto to store value and settle transactions. As AI increasingly aids in writing software and smart contract code, the pace of innovation within the onchain economy could rapidly accelerate, bringing an influx of new applications and users.
However, realizing this vision comes with several challenges to consider. Agentic technology is still early, and some expectations have run ahead of reality. AI agents today are limited in reliability and scope, and it may take time before they can fully handle open-ended tasks safely. Scalability of blockchains will also be tested if swarms of agents start transacting simultaneously. There’s also a pressing need for new trust and governance frameworks. AI agents can supercharge onchain systems, but also amplify security and trust issues if not properly governed.
From a value capture perspective, we believe unlocking the potential for the onchain AI economy will require the following: robust infrastructure that improves agent intelligence (e.g., data networks and post-trained models purpose-built for onchain agent use cases), services and tools for orchestrating agent behavior (e.g., multi-agent coordination, decentralized MCP, agent identity/payment rails), and distribution of agents to mainstream consumers (e.g., agent launchpads, AI app stores, and consumer AI).
In conclusion, the rise of onchain AI represents a frontier for machine-driven intelligence. From autonomous agents executing smart contracts to onchain apps that adapt to user needs in real-time, this movement could redefine how humans and machines interact. It is an exciting era – one that Coinbase Ventures and many in the crypto community believe could lead to the next big leap in the evolution of the internet, an Agentic Web that ushers in a more autonomous and intelligent digital economy.
Thanks to Hoolie (Coinbase Ventures), Luca (Base), Lincoln (Coinbase), Vik (Coinbase), Daniel (Variant), Josh (Contango Digital), Anand (Canonical), Teng (Chain of Thought), and EtherMage (Virtuals) for their thoughtful feedback and discussion on this post.
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