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$104
Buy prediction

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If Joe Biden has been seen in public starting 10:00 AM May 1, 2026 and before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. All of the following criteria must be met: Physical Presence: Joe Biden is physically present (not virtual/holographic) and alive Consciousness: Joe Biden appears conscious and aware (not unconscious, comatose, or incapacitated) Public Setting: The sighting occurs in one of the following: A public space accessible to the general public (streets, parks, shops, restaurants) A ticketed public event (concerts, sports events, conferences) An official public appearance (government events, ceremonies, press conferences) A semi-public venue where public access is normal (hotels, airports, train stations) The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Pre-recorded or archival footage presented as current Private events closed to the general public (private parties, closed meetings) Medical facilities, private residences, or restricted areas Virtual appearances (video calls, holograms, avatars) Body doubles or impersonators Corpses, funeral viewings, or posthumous footage Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: Joe Biden attends a movie premiere and is photographed on the red carpet by multiple Source Agencies Joe Biden gives a live press conference covered by news media Joe Biden attends a sporting event and is shown on the stadium's video screens Examples that would NOT resolve to Yes: Pre-recorded video message Private party footage leaked online Someone claiming to be Joe Biden but without Source Agency confirmation Joe Biden appearing via video link from home Outcome verified by ABC, NBC, BBC, The Guardian, official social media accounts verified by the platforms, government agencies of the jurisdiction where person resides or appears, person or their official representatives, MSNBC, The Information, The Wall Street Journal, Fox News, the Associated Press, The Washington Post, Axios, The New York Times, Semafor, CNN, Bloomberg News, CBS, Reuters, Politico, Sky News

If Joe Biden has been seen in public starting 10:00 AM May 1, 2026 and before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. All of the following criteria must be met: Physical Presence: Joe Biden is physically present (not virtual/holographic) and alive Consciousness: Joe Biden appears conscious and aware (not unconscious, comatose, or incapacitated) Public Setting: The sighting occurs in one of the following: A public space accessible to the general public (streets, parks, shops, restaurants) A ticketed public event (concerts, sports events, conferences) An official public appearance (government events, ceremonies, press conferences) A semi-public venue where public access is normal (hotels, airports, train stations) The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Pre-recorded or archival footage presented as current Private events closed to the general public (private parties, closed meetings) Medical facilities, private residences, or restricted areas Virtual appearances (video calls, holograms, avatars) Body doubles or impersonators Corpses, funeral viewings, or posthumous footage Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: Joe Biden attends a movie premiere and is photographed on the red carpet by multiple Source Agencies Joe Biden gives a live press conference covered by news media Joe Biden attends a sporting event and is shown on the stadium's video screens Examples that would NOT resolve to Yes: Pre-recorded video message Private party footage leaked online Someone claiming to be Joe Biden but without Source Agency confirmation Joe Biden appearing via video link from home Outcome verified by ABC, NBC, BBC, The Guardian, official social media accounts verified by the platforms, government agencies of the jurisdiction where person resides or appears, person or their official representatives, MSNBC, The Information, The Wall Street Journal, Fox News, the Associated Press, The Washington Post, Axios, The New York Times, Semafor, CNN, Bloomberg News, CBS, Reuters, Politico, Sky News

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Key stats

Expiry
Jun 1, 2026(8 days)
Interest
$3,544.56
Vol (24H)
$78.25↘ 84.21%
Total
$5K
Timeline & rules

Timeline & payout

This market will close and expire when an outcome occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jun 1, 2026, 3:59 AM GMT+0.

Trading prohibitions

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
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Prediction markets are offered by Coinbase Financial Markets, a registered futures commission merchant with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and a Member of the National Futures Association. Trading prediction contracts involve substantial risk and may result in the loss of your entire investment. Contracts pay out only if the specified event occurs. Trade only if you understand the product and believe it is appropriate for your financial situation and objectives.Certain content has been prepared by third parties not affiliated with Coinbase Financial Markets or any of its affiliates and Coinbase is not responsible for such content. Coinbase is not liable for any errors or delays in content, or for any actions taken in reliance on any content. Information is provided for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell a particular digital asset or to employ a particular investment strategy. Coinbase makes no representation on the accuracy, suitability, or validity of any information provided or for a particular asset. Prices shown are for illustrative purposes only. Actual cryptocurrency prices and associated stats may vary. Data presented may reflect assets traded on Coinbase’s exchange and select other cryptocurrency exchanges. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.