Prediction Markets

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

Democrats sweep

D-House, R-Senate

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

Democrats, 8 to 10%

Democrats, 10 to 12%

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

Above 52

52

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

230-233

234-237

Closest Senate race in 2026?

Iowa

Texas

Ohio Governor-Senate combo

Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win

Vivek Ramaswamy and Jon Husted win

Texas Governor-Senate combo

Greg Abbott and James Talarico win

Greg Abbott and Ken Paxton win

Closest Governor race in 2026?

Georgia

Florida

Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?

Democratic Party

Republican Party

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)

Above 235

Above 238

Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo

Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Democrats

Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Democrats

Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?

Florida Governor-Senate combo

Byron Donalds and Ashley Moody win

David Jolly and Ashley Moody win

Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?

Georgia Governor-Senate combo

Rick Jackson and Jon Ossoff win

Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win

How many House seats will Democrats win in Ohio?

6

5

How many House seats will Democrats win in Michigan?

8

9

Iowa Governor-Senate combo

Rob Sand and Ashley Hinson win

Rob Sand and Josh Turek win

Kansas Governor-Senate combo

Ty Masterson and Roger Marshall win

Ty Masterson and Adam Hamilton win

How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?

Exactly 0

Exactly 1

Minnesota Governor-Senate combo

Amy Klobuchar and Peggy Flanagan win

Amy Klobuchar and Michele Tafoya win

How many House seats will Democrats win in Minnesota?

4

5

How many House seats will Democrats win in Nevada?

3

4

Michigan Governor-Senate combo

Jocelyn Benson and Abdul El-Sayed win

Jocelyn Benson and Mike Rogers win

How many House seats will Democrats win in Iowa?

2

0

How many House seats will Democrats win in New York?

20

19

How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas?

12

11

Which states will Democrats win a trifecta in 2026?

Pennsylvania

Nevada

How many House seats will Democrats win in Virginia?

7

8

How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?

5 or more

Exactly 4

New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo

Kelly Ayotte and Chris Pappas win

Kelly Ayotte and John E. Sununu win

Alaska House, Governor & Senate combo

Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House

Republican sweep

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