Prediction Markets

Next French presidential election winner?

Marine Le Pen

Édouard Philippe

Alberta Separation Process Referendum passes?

Taipei mayoral election winner?

Chiang Wan-an

Shen Bo-yang

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

Gadi Eizenkot

Benjamin Netanyahu

Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory

Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6%

Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3%

Chief Minister of the Isle of Man after their election?

Chris Thomas

Alfred Cannan

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro

Delcy Rodríguez

Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?

Amazonas

Pará

When will Ukraine hold a presidential election?

Before 2030

Before 2029

Bulgarian presidential election winner?

Iliana Yotova

Andrey Gyurov

Toronto mayoral election winner?

Olivia Chow

Brad Bradford

Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent

At least 47%

At least 48%

Surrey mayoral election winner?

Brenda Locke

Linda Annis

Taiwan Local Elections winner?

Kuomintang

Democratic Progressive Party

Vancouver mayoral election winner?

Pete Fry

Ken Sim

British Columbia general election winner?

BC Conservatives

BC NDP

Serbian parliamentary election winner?

SNS-led list

Student list

Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo

Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Democrats

Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Democrats

Prime Minister of Spain after the next election?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo

Pedro Sánchez

Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent

At least 52%

At least 52.5%

When will Serbia call its presidential election?

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Nov 1, 2026

Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election?

Aleksandar Vučić

Miloš Vučević

Brazil presidential runoff: who will win the vote abroad?

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Flávio Bolsonaro

Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory

Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥5%

Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥7%

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Bruno Retailleau

Gérald Darmanin

Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Yashar win?

Above 23

Above 26

Oshawa mayoral election winner?

Tito-Dante Marimpietri

Derek Giberson

Bratislava mayoral election winner?

Matúš Vallo

Jozef Ráž

Who will be Israeli justice minister after the election?

Yariv Levin

Efrat Rayten

Tocantins Governor winner?

Professora Dorinha

Vicentinho Júnior

Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?

Magdalena Andersson

Ulf Kristersson

Ljubljana mayoral election winner?

Zoran Janković

Luka Mesec

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