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If Nvidia H200 chips being delivered to mainland China is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves to Yes if any Source Agency confirms that one or more Nvidia H200 chips have been physically delivered to, received in, or imported into mainland China after Issuance and before Jan. 1, 2027. For this market, “mainland China” means the People’s Republic of China excluding Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan. Delivery to Hong Kong, Macau, or Taiwan does not qualify unless a Source Agency confirms that the Nvidia H200 chips were subsequently delivered to, received in, or imported into mainland China. Regulatory approval, export licenses, purchase orders, contracts, reservations, customer allocations, payment, revenue-recognition statements, manufacturing, packaging, shipment preparation, or statements of intent do not qualify unless a Source Agency confirms physical delivery, receipt, or import into mainland China. References to Nvidia “H200,” “H200 AI chips,” “H200 GPUs,” “H200 processors,” “H200 accelerators,” or “H200 AI accelerators” qualify, provided the Source Agency is referring to Nvidia H200 chips. References only to other Nvidia chips, including H20, H100, B200, B300, Blackwell, or China-specific modified chips, do not qualify unless the Source Agency also confirms delivery of Nvidia H200 chips. A report that Nvidia H200 chips were delivered to an approved Chinese customer outside mainland China will not qualify, unless a Source Agency confirms that those chips were delivered to, received in, or imported into mainland China before Jan. 1, 2027. Outcome verified by Semafor, ABC, Bloomberg, NBC, The Washington Post, Associated Press, The Wall Street Journal, Fox News, Reuters, The Information, Politico, Axios, MSNBC, CNN, the New York Times, CBS

If Nvidia H200 chips being delivered to mainland China is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves to Yes if any Source Agency confirms that one or more Nvidia H200 chips have been physically delivered to, received in, or imported into mainland China after Issuance and before Jan. 1, 2027. For this market, “mainland China” means the People’s Republic of China excluding Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan. Delivery to Hong Kong, Macau, or Taiwan does not qualify unless a Source Agency confirms that the Nvidia H200 chips were subsequently delivered to, received in, or imported into mainland China. Regulatory approval, export licenses, purchase orders, contracts, reservations, customer allocations, payment, revenue-recognition statements, manufacturing, packaging, shipment preparation, or statements of intent do not qualify unless a Source Agency confirms physical delivery, receipt, or import into mainland China. References to Nvidia “H200,” “H200 AI chips,” “H200 GPUs,” “H200 processors,” “H200 accelerators,” or “H200 AI accelerators” qualify, provided the Source Agency is referring to Nvidia H200 chips. References only to other Nvidia chips, including H20, H100, B200, B300, Blackwell, or China-specific modified chips, do not qualify unless the Source Agency also confirms delivery of Nvidia H200 chips. A report that Nvidia H200 chips were delivered to an approved Chinese customer outside mainland China will not qualify, unless a Source Agency confirms that those chips were delivered to, received in, or imported into mainland China before Jan. 1, 2027. Outcome verified by Semafor, ABC, Bloomberg, NBC, The Washington Post, Associated Press, The Wall Street Journal, Fox News, Reuters, The Information, Politico, Axios, MSNBC, CNN, the New York Times, CBS

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Key stats

Expiry
Jan 1, 2027(170 days)
Interest
$12,579.24
Total
$32K
Timeline & rules

Timeline & payout

This market will close and expire when an outcome occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM GMT+0.

Trading prohibitions

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
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Prediction markets are offered by Coinbase Financial Markets, a registered futures commission merchant with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and a Member of the National Futures Association. Trading prediction contracts involve substantial risk and may result in the loss of your entire investment. Contracts pay out only if the specified event occurs. Trade only if you understand the product and believe it is appropriate for your financial situation and objectives.Certain content has been prepared by third parties not affiliated with Coinbase Financial Markets or any of its affiliates and Coinbase is not responsible for such content. Coinbase is not liable for any errors or delays in content, or for any actions taken in reliance on any content. Information is provided for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell a particular digital asset or to employ a particular investment strategy. Coinbase makes no representation on the accuracy, suitability, or validity of any information provided or for a particular asset. Prices shown are for illustrative purposes only. Actual cryptocurrency prices and associated stats may vary. Data presented may reflect assets traded on Coinbase’s exchange and select other cryptocurrency exchanges. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.