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Politics Prediction Markets

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
$23,699,494 vol
Will Trump attend The World Cup Final?
$3,747,837 vol
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
$1,347,847 vol
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/6 - 7/12)
Above 125
Above 150
$713,349 vol
Will the SAVE Act become law?
$15,298,697 vol
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Jul 2026?
0
1
$718,718 vol
Donald Trump: World Cup matches attended
At least 1
At least 2
$848,055 vol
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
$1,061,058 vol
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
$10,819,946 vol
Trump late night post this week? (7/12-7/18)
5-6 AM
4-5 AM
$59,079 vol
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
Before August
$3,738,783 vol
Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?
$1,458,209 vol
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Amy Gleason
Kash Patel
$7,289,317 vol
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Todd Blanche
Lee Zeldin
$18,856,415 vol
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (7/12-7/18)
140-159
180-199
$43,508 vol
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic? (7/6 - 7/12)
July 7
July 6
$137,654 vol
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (7/6-7/12)
4
5
$121,167 vol
Trump's approval rating on Jul 17, 2026?
40.8 to 41.0
41.1 to 41.3
$114,061 vol
Will the SAVE America Act become law?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Aug 1, 2026
$2,040,752 vol
Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
Before Oct 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2028
$2,149,927 vol
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/13 - 7/19)
Above 50
Above 75
$34,195 vol
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026)
At least 50
At least 70
$163,791 vol
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
Before January 20, 2029
Before 2028
$20,303,922 vol
Who will Trump pardon in 2026?
Rachel Cherwitz
Keonne Rodriguez
$775,834 vol
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?
Before Jul 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027
$414,977 vol
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Mar 1, 2027
$4,596,011 vol
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
$2,830,228 vol
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
John Brennan
Letitia James
$1,724,679 vol
Will Trump do anything this week? (7/12-7/18)
At least 4
At least 5
$9,180 vol
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
$0 / No Acquisition
$600 billion to $899 billion
$2,976,440 vol
Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Jul 15, 2026
$46,466 vol
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Dec 1, 2026
$32,124 vol