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Politics Prediction Markets

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
$12,675,593 vol
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before September
Before August
$9,603,256 vol
Tulsi Gabbard out as Director of National Intelligence?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
$4,088,701 vol
Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence?
Aaron Lukas
Elise Stefanik
$147,259 vol
Who will visit New York City before June 2026?
Donald Trump
Greta Thunberg
$275,279 vol
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Howard Lutnick
Lee Zeldin
$6,347,884 vol
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/18 - 5/24)
Above 30
Above 40
$228,665 vol
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Todd Blanche
Lee Zeldin
$14,600,578 vol
Will the SAVE Act become law?
$10,027,834 vol
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in May 2026?
1
2
$1,121,541 vol
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)
$111,601 vol
Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
Before 2027
Before August
$2,127,202 vol
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
Howard Lutnick
Pete Hegseth
$47,198 vol
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
$2,420,429 vol
When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?
Before Jun 14, 2026
Before Jun 6, 2026
$947,722 vol
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (5/17-5/23)
200-220
>220
$198,391 vol
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jun 1, 2026
$1,238,924 vol
Keir Starmer departure announced?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
$3,590,763 vol
What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
Venezuela
Cuba
$2,419,472 vol
Trump's approval rating on May 29, 2026?
39.6 to 39.8
39.3 to 39.5
$27,249 vol
Will Trump do anything this week? (5/17-5/23)
At least 1
At least 7
$62,735 vol
Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?
Before 2027
Before July
$5,264,627 vol
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
Before August
$3,467,149 vol
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week?
$23,311 vol
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
$502,892 vol
Volodymyr Zelenskyy departure announced?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
$78,004 vol
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (5/17 - 5/23)
$36,906 vol
What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?
Between 10% and 19.99%
Below 10%
$176,549 vol
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Mar 1, 2027
$6,759,753 vol
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?
Before 2027
Before September 2026
$284,075 vol
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
$0 / No Acquisition
$600 billion to $899 billion
$2,560,091 vol
Who will visit Iran before July?
Any U.S. House member
Any U.S. Senator
$1,066,032 vol