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Politics Prediction Markets

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/6 - 7/12)
Above 125
Above 150
$720,014 vol
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
$10,827,992 vol
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic? (7/6 - 7/12)
July 7
July 6
$138,967 vol
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/13 - 7/19)
Above 75
Above 100
$38,808 vol
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026)
At least 50
At least 70
$164,995 vol
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
$2,830,228 vol
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
Above 70
Above 80
$84,009 vol
Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?
$550,980 vol
Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
$1,941,455 vol
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic? (7/13 - 7/19)
July 13
July 19
$2,881 vol
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?
Before 2027
Before September 2026
$488,308 vol
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Aug 1, 2026
$1,059,989 vol