Politics Prediction Markets

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/6 - 7/12)
Above 125
Above 150
$764,274 vol
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
$10,854,641 vol
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/13 - 7/19)
Above 50
Above 75
$54,369 vol
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/6 - 7/12)
July 7
July 6
$141,652 vol
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Aug 1, 2026
$1,066,776 vol
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026)
At least 50
At least 60
$165,183 vol
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
$2,833,349 vol
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
Above 70
Above 80
$85,995 vol
Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?
$550,999 vol
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/13 - 7/19)
July 13
July 19
$2,906 vol
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/13 - 7/19)
Above 20
Above 30
$1,036 vol
Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
$1,941,457 vol
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?
Before 2027
Before September 2026
$488,308 vol