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Politics Prediction Markets

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
$23,822,450 vol
Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Jul 15, 2026
$48,786 vol
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Oct 1, 2026
$27,819 vol
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Before January 21, 2029
Before 2027
$6,503,552 vol
Will China abolish hukou?
Before 2030
Before 2028
$9,239 vol
Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
Before Jun 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027
$1,280,874 vol
Will Trump recognize Somaliland?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2027
$48,194 vol
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary?
$38,464 vol
Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2027
$345,668 vol
Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Oct 1, 2026
$18,432 vol
What countries will Trump visit in 2026?
Germany
Saudi Arabia
$718,959 vol
Volodymyr Zelenskyy departure announced?
$74,481 vol
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
$6,876,246 vol
Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?
Before September 1, 2026
Before August 1, 2026
$263,201 vol
Will the US take control of any part of Canada?
$266,030 vol
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
$1,100,132 vol
Which G7 leader will leave next?
Keir Starmer
Emmanuel Macron
$206,269 vol
Lisa Cook departure announced?
Before Jan 2027
Before Sep 1, 2026
$83,826 vol
Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?
Before Jan 1, 2030
Before Jan 1, 2029
$510,280 vol
Will the US acquire any new territory?
Before Jan 21, 2029
Before Jan 2028
$609,246 vol
Ilie Bolojan out as Prime Minister of Romania?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Sep 1, 2026
$5,156 vol
Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?
Colombia
Lebanon
$652,901 vol
Sara Duterte out as Vice President of the Philippines?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Sep 1, 2026
$21,432 vol
Who will be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer?
Ed Miliband
Pat McFadden
$109,951 vol
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs)
Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)
$1,368,074 vol
Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
María Corina Machado
$71,188 vol
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?
$115,670 vol
Will China unban Bitcoin?
Before 2029
Before 2030
$533 vol
Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?
$131,770 vol
Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?
$39,760 vol
What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?
Qatar
Switzerland
$151,369 vol
Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
$11,141 vol